It's not over yet
All of the votes have not been counted. The votes of soldiers diplomats, etc., 4-5 seats, are going to be counted by tomorrow (Thursday afternoon), the overwhelming majority of them soldiers. In the past the soldiers have tended to vote for the right and therefore it is very possible that the Likud will pick up 1 - 2 seats and Kadima may lose 1. If that happens then Livni's whole argument goes up in smoke.